Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs FUSION X (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Main Event Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7a33f3f98fbd1e6447b38a1ce50adf42181fd57e2bcf17ac2697772d4e0447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akave Esports Blackof Akave Esports Black, FUSION X
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FUSION X | 7c | 5,316$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed FUSION X | 7c | 3,913$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.91 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FUSION X | 7c | 3,089$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked FUSION X | 6c | 3,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 289 | 42.9%124 W · 165 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed FUSION X | 7c | 2,400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FUSION X | 9c | 2,255$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed FUSION X | 9c | 2,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 324 | 45.4%147 W · 177 L | +51.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed FUSION X | 7c | 1,456$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…d5cdbacked FUSION X | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FUSION X | 7c | 988.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed FUSION X | 7c | 714.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed FUSION X | 7c | 385.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FUSION X | 7c | 365.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed FUSION X | 12c | 350.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…f9e2backed FUSION X | 11c | 345.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed FUSION X | 6c | 309.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FUSION X | 9c | 253.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked FUSION X | 8c | 245.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FUSION X | 9c | 241.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FUSION X | 9c | 214.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FUSION X | 8c | 213.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed FUSION X | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed FUSION X | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FUSION X | 9c | 180.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed FUSION X | 7c | 165.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed FUSION X | 8c | 151.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked FUSION X | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed FUSION X | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…2512backed FUSION X | 9c | 124.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Akave Esports Black | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Akave Esports Black | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Akave Esports Black | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Akave Esports Black | 76c | 45.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d10…5990backed Akave Esports Black | 54c | 38.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Akave Esports Black | 70c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Akave Esports Black | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…88a1backed Akave Esports Black | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs FUSION X (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Main Event Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AEB (-1.5) vs FUSION X (+1.5)Akave Esports Black won
- Map Handicap: AEB (-2.5) vs FUSION X (+2.5)Akave Esports Black won
- Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs FUSION X - Map 1 WinnerAkave Esports Black won
- Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs FUSION X - Map 2 WinnerAkave Esports Black won
- Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs FUSION X - Map 3 WinnerAkave Esports Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.