MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f180a93276f1bd9904e283fdeea2153a46ec485719825290a5b847514ac3067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Doosan Bears, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 72c | 2,072$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.5 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Doosan Bears | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 621.43$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 571.62$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.38 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Doosan Bears | 28c | 537.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 478.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.53 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 423.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.16 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 401.59$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 300.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 290.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 265.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 242.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 229.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 225.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 187.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Doosan Bears | 69c | 125$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 122.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 106.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Doosan Bears | 28c | 101.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…d538backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…81adbacked Doosan Bears | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 99.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 73c | 82.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Doosan Bears | 77c | 77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 72.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 64.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 59.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 57.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Kiwoom Heroes | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 50.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 333 | 28.2%94 W · 239 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 46.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 45.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 34.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 25.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 24.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Doosan Bears | 70c | 17.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.