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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Acend vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acendof Acend, UNiTY esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7460…de6ebacked UNiTY esports50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00044951%229 W · 220 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed UNiTY esports54c1,479$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.524456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend52c962.43$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.348,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked UNiTY esports36c634.14$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.765238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed UNiTY esports38c599.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8430437.8%115 W · 189 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked UNiTY esports58c518.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009655.2%53 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3936…6e40backed UNiTY esports8c501.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.092222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+260.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5c5ebacked Acend57c485.66$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.23875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Acend50c462.2$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7435843%154 W · 204 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Acend63c439.66$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.387344.3%387 W · 486 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Acend77c354.01$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8347263.6%300 W · 172 L+51.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x57ce…aceebacked UNiTY esports32c335.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.132740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed UNiTY esports11c334.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.055225%13 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4964…4fddbacked Acend80c322.84$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…ecf5backed UNiTY esports31c309.34$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.122240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed UNiTY esports29c284.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0384343.3%365 W · 478 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked UNiTY esports11c283.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3811821.2%25 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked UNiTY esports22c239.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.372,23743.2%966 W · 1,271 L-70.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked UNiTY esports30c207.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.015,11337.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L-268.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Acend79c200.56$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.61,93242.2%815 W · 1,117 L-69.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c43…6f23backed Acend57c175.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Acend66c166.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6640169.3%278 W · 123 L+32.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked UNiTY esports20c163.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.162,58534.6%894 W · 1,691 L-200.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Acend72c159.72$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7214753.1%78 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked UNiTY esports9c128$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5274853.5%400 W · 348 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8593…dd67backed UNiTY esports38c126.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.02837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed UNiTY esports15c126$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.317147.9%34 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed UNiTY esports42c121.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5161142.7%261 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7585…dcb3backed Acend50c119$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.52450%12 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked Acend52c116.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1918744.9%84 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Acend62c106$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3443538.9%169 W · 266 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Acend70c98.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2576945.9%353 W · 416 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4038…35e4backed UNiTY esports49c92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0811551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNiTY esports14c88.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed UNiTY esports41c83.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1254949.4%271 W · 278 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked UNiTY esports55c79.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Acend67c69.7$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,68347%791 W · 892 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Acend57c69.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5542455.2%234 W · 190 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Acend62c68.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9148056.3%270 W · 210 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x061b…d77fbacked Acend50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed UNiTY esports46c57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0114650%73 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Acend71c56.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3443572.2%314 W · 121 L+26.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed UNiTY esports19c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61,16142.2%490 W · 671 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Acend80c49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.995,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Acend61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9830261.3%185 W · 117 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Acend50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555643.9%244 W · 312 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed UNiTY esports39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Acend52c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552,42246.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L-56.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Acend80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617450.6%88 W · 86 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b8…9223backed Acend80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Acend72c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Acend70c27.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.162,19247.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5c…d463backed UNiTY esports60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Acend70c22.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6662753.9%338 W · 289 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Acend61c16.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.533956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed Acend78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3710875%81 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.