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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Acend vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acendof Acend, UNiTY esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe75d…a961backed UNiTY esports56c1,018$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.292161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed UNiTY esports45c542$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.146063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked UNiTY esports15c475.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.753,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked UNiTY esports36c471.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7517945.8%82 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57ce…aceebacked Acend55c468.74$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.223135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed UNiTY esports28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11234348.4%166 W · 177 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Acend63c399.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14818044.4%80 W · 100 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0020…3f56backed Acend72c382.06$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…ecf5backed Acend64c374.89$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.362240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed UNiTY esports51c374.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4681045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Acend64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51,20554.5%657 W · 548 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Acend58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12645943.6%200 W · 259 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked UNiTY esports35c289.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009755.7%54 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed UNiTY esports35c260.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.331,44433.4%482 W · 962 L+39.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked UNiTY esports37c220$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Acend60c219.23$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.123472.6%170 W · 64 L+27.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1764…7acbbacked Acend62c205$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.951225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Acend59c188$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9336942.8%158 W · 211 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed UNiTY esports49c182.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4247941.5%199 W · 280 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8f…2aeebacked UNiTY esports39c128$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.927138%27 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed Acend68c113.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.313271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Acend56c96.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4793645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Acend61c86.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831,20642%506 W · 700 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed UNiTY esports61c82.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend70c82.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.35,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Acend62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.051,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked Acend59c79.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.914738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed UNiTY esports29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.642,44246.8%1,142 W · 1,300 L-54.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Acend60c70.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.430954.7%169 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Acend58c66.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.041,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Acend61c64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.032,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked UNiTY esports23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Acend63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4551756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Acend69c54.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.095,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed UNiTY esports58c52.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6750564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend50c43.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.994,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Acend60c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.392,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked UNiTY esports31c42.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.972,63434.6%912 W · 1,722 L-204.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Acend52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.249543.4%215 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Acend63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9544373.6%326 W · 117 L+43.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Acend70c34.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.132,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed UNiTY esports48c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5164548.4%312 W · 333 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Acend55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.633243.7%145 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Acend72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7811364.6%73 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Acend55c27.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Acend52c26.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.074,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Acend64c25.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.234959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Acend73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.856946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Acend69c16.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0656948.9%278 W · 291 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.