Fifa International · resolved market
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa03bdab4a421e53952c78f1fbbec7375315867fddcf0f09b25eb51629fe9347d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,646$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 1,361$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 58c | 1,324$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.87 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 44c | 375.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.83 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 235.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 48c | 208.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 56c | 175.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 56c | 141.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 15c | 129.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 116.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 52c | 92.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 75c | 62.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 44c | 54.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes | 56c | 53.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 54c | 41.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed No | 54c | 39.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 57c | 26.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed No | 64c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cambodia (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)Hong Kong SAR won
- Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5)Cambodia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.