Fifa International · resolved market
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e7537712f702b79bb4f40d9521f408eb1ec93515631f66f751fc1049da78ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,348$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.02 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 72c | 2,278$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.77 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 1,982$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 75c | 1,332$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 1,201$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 67c | 735.13$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 733.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 25c | 547.15$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 475.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 75c | 397$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 74c | 319.81$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Over | 70c | 295.74$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 75c | 260.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 26c | 195.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 76c | 168.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 76c | 157.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Under | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…0d91backed Under | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 56c | 105.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 76c | 105.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 74c | 103.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Over | 76c | 90.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 24c | 56.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 76c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 41.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 26c | 39.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 73c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 76c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 41c | 25.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Over | 75c | 25.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 76c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…3ee1backed Over | 75c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5this page
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cambodia (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)Hong Kong SAR won
- Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5)Cambodia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.