Fifa International · resolved market
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe130023a8784ad92533c7c680b3ce3e7091cf6239c975bb7bc5933e7d1c7ec13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 4c | 9,640$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 1,127$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 13c | 757$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 398.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 74c | 332$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 9c | 299$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 71c | 172.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 77c | 160$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 149.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 27c | 131.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 119.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 27c | 79.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 28c | 72.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 66.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…761abacked Under | 67c | 44.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 73c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5this page
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cambodia (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)Hong Kong SAR won
- Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5)Cambodia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.