Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Anhelina Kalinina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0eefd1340c97fa8dd2bd5dea6f9c662da77623bb8f8e2c49771deb158ed8b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anhelina Kalininaof Katarzyna Kawa, Anhelina Kalinina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,349 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 29c | 11,566$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Anhelina Kalinina | 76c | 5,089$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.28 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 73c | 4,552$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.64 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 7c | 4,057$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 10c | 2,153$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0606backed Katarzyna Kawa | 13c | 2,000$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Katarzyna Kawa | 34c | 1,478$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Katarzyna Kawa | 23c | 1,106$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 65c | 826$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Katarzyna Kawa | 5c | 637.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Katarzyna Kawa | 3c | 560$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 531.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Anhelina Kalinina | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Anhelina Kalinina | 73c | 481.89$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Katarzyna Kawa | 25c | 446.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Katarzyna Kawa | 24c | 440.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 438.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Katarzyna Kawa | 25c | 403.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 394.84$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 30c | 377.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Katarzyna Kawa | 27c | 368.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Katarzyna Kawa | 32c | 358.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Anhelina Kalinina | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 76c | 320$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Anhelina Kalinina | 69c | 318$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Anhelina Kalinina | 69c | 264.34$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Anhelina Kalinina | 73c | 260.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Katarzyna Kawa | 27c | 221.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Anhelina Kalinina | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 180.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Katarzyna Kawa | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Katarzyna Kawa | 26c | 158.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Katarzyna Kawa | 25c | 146.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Katarzyna Kawa | 27c | 145.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 142.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 132.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Anhelina Kalinina | 77c | 132.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Anhelina Kalinina | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 125.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Anhelina Kalinina | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 77c | 97.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…0f8fbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Katarzyna Kawa | 23c | 91.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Katarzyna Kawa | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Anhelina Kalinina | 77c | 61.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Anhelina Kalinina | 77c | 44.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Anhelina Kalinina | 76c | 41.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Anhelina Kalinina | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Anhelina Kalinina | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…0f24backed Anhelina Kalinina | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 21.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Anhelina Kalinina | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 75c | 15.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.