NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18dbdf132d8d02b87a7a4ea87ff3f3b8d25dd870f7ff8f1c04d8d71ef730299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Lightning, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sabres | 36c | 15,889$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,172.66 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 38c | 8,090$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Lightning | 64c | 4,668$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.52 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Lightning | 61c | 4,304$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.54 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 64c | 2,982$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.57 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Sabres | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.97 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 65c | 1,610$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.49 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 64c | 1,598$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.14 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 62c | 1,518$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 63c | 1,456$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.43 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 55c | 1,364$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.68 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Sabres | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 66c | 1,025$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.11 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Lightning | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Lightning | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 69c | 984$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 63c | 801.3$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.82 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 62c | 670$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lightning | 64c | 645.26$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.97 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 38c | 531.34$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sabres | 39c | 510$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.7 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Lightning | 64c | 459.38$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Lightning | 65c | 440.35$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.23 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…9c51backed Lightning | 62c | 406.38$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sabres | 44c | 371.36$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…775bbacked Sabres | 37c | 358.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 74c | 299.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Sabres | 34c | 297.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.61 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…d02ebacked Lightning | 64c | 257.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…5baabacked Lightning | 38c | 238.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 66c | 222.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Sabres | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Sabres | 33c | 187.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…b2b5backed Sabres | 35c | 157.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Lightning | 65c | 156.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Lightning | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…3fa7backed Sabres | 35c | 149.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Lightning | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…e156backed Sabres | 35c | 142.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…99dfbacked Sabres | 35c | 134.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lightning | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…4cddbacked Lightning | 65c | 119$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf36…6694backed Sabres | 35c | 119$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…f199backed Lightning | 63c | 115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…18d7backed Sabres | 37c | 115$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…67b1backed Sabres | 37c | 109$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…e611backed Lightning | 63c | 109$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…d880backed Sabres | 38c | 107$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd625…365bbacked Lightning | 62c | 107$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bb…4915backed Sabres | 36c | 102$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…aa5abacked Lightning | 64c | 102$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 66c | 100.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Sabres | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…8708backed Lightning | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Lightning | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Lightning | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Lightning | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…5e1abacked Sabres | 37c | 98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…cdc5backed Lightning | 63c | 98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…15c4backed Lightning | 66c | 96.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…c5a9backed Sabres | 38c | 93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…2abbbacked Lightning | 62c | 93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…155ebacked Lightning | 66c | 83.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7b…06b4backed Lightning | 63c | 83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…e2fdbacked Sabres | 37c | 83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf761…f977backed Lightning | 66c | 82.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…bd51backed Lightning | 66c | 80.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Lightning | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd807…3b7dbacked Lightning | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…fc72backed Sabres | 37c | 79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Lightning | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…da41backed Lightning | 66c | 75.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…0129backed Sabres | 37c | 75.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…81cabacked Lightning | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…807cbacked Sabres | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…4065backed Lightning | 66c | 74.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lightning | 64c | 72.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…b4bbbacked Lightning | 66c | 71.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a3bbbacked Lightning | 65c | 71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcd…6d03backed Sabres | 35c | 71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c00…f2bcbacked Sabres | 37c | 69.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2202…b157backed Sabres | 35c | 68.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…252ebacked Lightning | 66c | 68.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Sabres | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Lightning | 64c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb0…d964backed Sabres | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…12c4backed Lightning | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…7e90backed Lightning | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…21abbacked Sabres | 38c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2071…ff7abacked Sabres | 36c | 62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…baafbacked Lightning | 64c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.