Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LYON vs Contra - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25d8558d528fc442f42d4f1057fbcfd73e5ef41a38adbcd7ae1985f8f6992f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contraof LYON, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Contra | 56c | 1,235$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.89 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Contra | 57c | 869.52$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Contra | 64c | 686.97$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked LYON | 43c | 649.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LYON | 38c | 615$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.68 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked LYON | 47c | 605.13$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LYON | 43c | 602.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.75 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed LYON | 47c | 392.61$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked LYON | 46c | 309.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Contra | 58c | 286$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Contra | 19c | 263.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LYON | 49c | 182.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Contra | 24c | 181.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LYON | 40c | 174$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LYON | 45c | 172.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LYON | 43c | 162.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked LYON | 47c | 162.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Contra | 51c | 156.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LYON | 42c | 129.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Contra | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LYON | 39c | 118.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Contra | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Contra | 65c | 105.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…7b29backed Contra | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed LYON | 42c | 98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked LYON | 39c | 94.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Contra | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Contra | 57c | 88.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contra | 57c | 82.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Contra | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Contra | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Contra | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed LYON | 36c | 76.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed LYON | 37c | 75.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed LYON | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Contra | 56c | 69.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Contra | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Contra | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Contra | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Contra | 48c | 65.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed LYON | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked LYON | 61c | 49.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LYON | 39c | 48.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Contra | 54c | 44.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Contra | 52c | 43.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Contra | 51c | 41.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Contra | 62c | 40.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Contra | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Contra | 61c | 39.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LYON | 41c | 37.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Contra | 39c | 35.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Contra | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Contra | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LYON vs Contra - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: LYON vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: PlayoffsContra won
- Valorant: LYON vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.