Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Thasaporn Naklo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27e6144a19bb03a8f659e2eb87bb8781aa4be01df75c2f2194c2af0ebaa044f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thasaporn Nakloof Shihomi Li Xuan Leong, Thasaporn Naklo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Thasaporn Naklo | 77c | 6,523$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.93 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 30c | 4,207$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.94 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 24c | 1,593$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.49 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 4c | 911.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 21c | 768.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 768.49$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.29 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 44c | 581.82$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 19c | 549.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 9c | 466.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 365 | 21.6%79 W · 286 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 25c | 443.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 26c | 423$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Thasaporn Naklo | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 25c | 264$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Thasaporn Naklo | 65c | 260.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 229 | 52.8%121 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 30c | 257.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 48c | 215.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 12c | 138.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 66c | 128.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 66c | 128.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Thasaporn Naklo | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Thasaporn Naklo | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 277 | 54.5%151 W · 126 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thasaporn Naklo | 64c | 70.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 36c | 54.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…8d59backed Thasaporn Naklo | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 52.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 38c | 48.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Thasaporn Naklo | 73c | 38.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Thasaporn Naklo | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Thasaporn Naklo | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Thasaporn Naklothis page
- ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Completed Match: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Thasaporn NakloYes won
- Set Handicap: Naklo (-1.5) vs Leong (+1.5)Naklo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.