MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2b72b1b431821d3f7874dca4a35a1ab7899eece509b32db320ce5aad95db334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed New York Yankees | 56c | 12,213$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 8,449$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,650$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,539$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.05 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 1,174$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.05 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,075$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.75 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 958.35$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed New York Yankees | 55c | 844$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New York Yankees | 11c | 534.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 494.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.72 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 365.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 328.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…136dbacked New York Yankees | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked New York Yankees | 23c | 220.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 211$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed New York Yankees | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed New York Yankees | 38c | 155.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed New York Yankees | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…380bbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 37.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed New York Yankees | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.