Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Mariia Tkacheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2fa17fed026b2396743d8b5d7c32479aa04ebfbf13d41973ab18a34c2ff9542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Zakharovaof Anastasia Zakharova, Mariia Tkacheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 74c | 21,286$15,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.61 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Mariia Tkacheva | 28c | 17,497$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.36 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariia Tkacheva | 15c | 12,267$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Mariia Tkacheva | 13c | 7,458$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.65 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 6,327$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.57 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anastasia Zakharova | 71c | 5,515$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.01 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mariia Tkacheva | 17c | 3,026$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.77 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mariia Tkacheva | 27c | 1,510$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.76 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariia Tkacheva | 4c | 1,066$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mariia Tkacheva | 12c | 946.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Mariia Tkacheva | 27c | 842.01$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.18 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 12c | 780.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Anastasia Zakharova | 73c | 678.52$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b2d4backed Anastasia Zakharova | 76c | 660.1$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Mariia Tkacheva | 13c | 591.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mariia Tkacheva | 17c | 588.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Anastasia Zakharova | 78c | 546$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Anastasia Zakharova | 68c | 544.09$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Mariia Tkacheva | 19c | 477.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Mariia Tkacheva | 23c | 441.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Mariia Tkacheva | 16c | 404.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mariia Tkacheva | 17c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Mariia Tkacheva | 45c | 336.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Mariia Tkacheva | 27c | 333.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Mariia Tkacheva | 5c | 290.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mariia Tkacheva | 44c | 288.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Mariia Tkacheva | 4c | 281.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mariia Tkacheva | 11c | 269.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 34c | 205.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Mariia Tkacheva | 13c | 158.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 157$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 153$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 152$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 152$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 151$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 138$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Anastasia Zakharova | 79c | 134.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Mariia Tkacheva | 41c | 134.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Mariia Tkacheva | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Mariia Tkacheva | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Anastasia Zakharova | 72c | 106.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Anastasia Zakharova | 61c | 102.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Anastasia Zakharova | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Mariia Tkacheva | 19c | 99.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mariia Tkacheva | 21c | 86.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Mariia Tkacheva | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anastasia Zakharova | 73c | 69.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Mariia Tkacheva | 37c | 64.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Mariia Tkacheva | 35c | 57.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Mariia Tkacheva | 27c | 49.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Anastasia Zakharova | 78c | 45.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Mariia Tkacheva | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Anastasia Zakharova | 62c | 38.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Anastasia Zakharova | 80c | 37.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Anastasia Zakharova | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariia Tkacheva | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Anastasia Zakharova | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 80c | 22.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Anastasia Zakharova | 65c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Anastasia Zakharova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 77c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Anastasia Zakharova | 74c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Anastasia Zakharova | 80c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.