TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raysof Blue Jays, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94e8…c2d6backed Blue Jays44c9,998$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2b…2df0backed Rays56c9,998$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays57c2,038$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.261,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c2…455dbacked Blue Jays44c1,900$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Blue Jays43c1,781$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.1213353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays33c1,512$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0abf…e18bbacked Rays56c1,291$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8591…9abebacked Blue Jays44c1,289$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…82debacked Blue Jays44c1,211$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x823f…eb54backed Rays56c1,209$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays72c1,121$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.824,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays16c1,005$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…3cc5backed Rays56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…4e46backed Rays56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays56c799.95$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays26c744.16$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.451,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Blue Jays44c561.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2815949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Rays69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1552650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe30…2950backed Blue Jays44c459$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays73c437.87$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.032,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…8b05backed Blue Jays44c428.14$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd954…cbebbacked Blue Jays44c418.7$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.23944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays55c412.59$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.661,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e29…4aedbacked Rays57c375.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…1a6ebacked Rays57c370.84$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.461070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc5d…eabcbacked Blue Jays44c368.07$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays56c350.72$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.282,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c8…074cbacked Rays57c311.39$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.91154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…93e6backed Rays57c280.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.811050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Rays76c262.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.34856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Blue Jays25c245.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.38530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0912…5739backed Blue Jays44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays44c226.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.872,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de1…6b5abacked Blue Jays45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x398c…3738backed Rays57c198.58$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.391070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Blue Jays6c194.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Rays57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Blue Jays44c174.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8423753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Blue Jays24c164.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jays42c157.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3533349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f5…5bc0backed Blue Jays13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45ad…7f76backed Rays56c143$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.923145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bc…c8b4backed Rays57c133.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.53887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+55%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4254…b486backed Rays76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…0a26backed Blue Jays44c120.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays57c114.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.161,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Blue Jays44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb58d…818ebacked Rays77c111.94$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.754146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcef…d740backed Blue Jays45c108.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…08b1backed Blue Jays44c107.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Rays57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4313848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2587…00c4backed Rays57c95.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09f8…ee95backed Rays57c92.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Blue Jays44c91.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8338245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays17c91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.291,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Blue Jays44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c7…f4dbbacked Blue Jays44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde47…aa74backed Rays58c88.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a74…5c6ebacked Rays57c87.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387a…927dbacked Blue Jays12c85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays43c82.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.515,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1186…5391backed Rays58c81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61eb…0598backed Rays57c79.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Blue Jays40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays71c65.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.819,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a5…e5b7backed Blue Jays44c64.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rays61c57.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Rays57c55.4$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8220138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed Rays57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.884158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca2…55e4backed Blue Jays44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227154.9%39 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x70ec…1859backed Blue Jays44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Rays55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.541649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…3836backed Blue Jays44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a5…8855backed Rays57c47.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Rays57c46.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016055.6%89 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Rays56c45.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.182941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Blue Jays44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd970…757fbacked Blue Jays45c44.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacdd…4fccbacked Rays57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Rays57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0923852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Blue Jays45c34.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.493141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…0211backed Blue Jays44c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9e…9606backed Rays57c33.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…6e81backed Rays57c32.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays44c31.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a1…a7c6backed Blue Jays44c30.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Blue Jays44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.236453%193 W · 171 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa211…ce78backed Blue Jays44c29.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.121250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Rays70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5720367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays43c27.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1013…d0cabacked Blue Jays44c27.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fb3…4393backed Rays78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.