Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48f180a6d14814e05c7cea7f5923b162df778dddea7d3a85afe0f6e74171e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 18c | 1,330$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 34c | 873.61$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.96 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 37c | 588.76$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.25 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 39c | 274.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 68c | 255.66$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 54c | 239.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 65c | 226$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…908bbacked No | 63c | 209.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed Yes | 65c | 182.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 38c | 174.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 161$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 38c | 148$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 18c | 145$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 35c | 144.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 45c | 141.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 15c | 134.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 36c | 125.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 125.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 20c | 124.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 65c | 124$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 57c | 121$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 10c | 110.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 32c | 86.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3084backed Yes | 76c | 80.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 152 | 70.4%107 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 36c | 74.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 65c | 70.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 265 | 33.2%88 W · 177 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 43c | 66.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 62.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 79c | 61.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed No | 57c | 58.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 40c | 56.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 40c | 55.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 60c | 54.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 43c | 53.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 32c | 50.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…261ebacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 48c | 49.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ba1bbacked No | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 45.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 34c | 44.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 28c | 39.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 39.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 38c | 39.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…00a0backed No | 61c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 32c | 36.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 38c | 35.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 40c | 33.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 35c | 31.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 44c | 30.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…99b7backed Yes | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 65c | 28.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…d17abacked Yes | 40c | 28.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 58c | 27.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…ccacbacked Yes | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +11.6wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 78c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 64c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked No | 51c | 20.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -18.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82df…0f66backed Yes | 54c | 20.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 69 | 89.9%62 W · 7 L | +25.3wins | +0.37per pick | 53cpaid | +111%equal weight | 80+0.27 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed No | 66c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 280 | 68.6%192 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 75c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed Yes | 78c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…306cbacked Yes | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.