Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Edda Mamedova vs Kristina Belkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a805ac1b09227d4c1ef8eddbc247119be067060af4a83caad46869995fe426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edda Mamedovaof Edda Mamedova, Kristina Belkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Edda Mamedova | 65c | 5,505$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.72 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Edda Mamedova | 63c | 3,851$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.96 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Kristina Belkova | 39c | 1,478$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.8 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kristina Belkova | 29c | 1,315$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.61 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kristina Belkova | 41c | 1,052$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.47 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kristina Belkova | 41c | 1,025$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.05 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Kristina Belkova | 29c | 975.09$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.62 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Edda Mamedova | 56c | 836.38$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.04 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Kristina Belkova | 40c | 830.89$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.62 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kristina Belkova | 33c | 701.58$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kristina Belkova | 38c | 494.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kristina Belkova | 30c | 397.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Edda Mamedova | 70c | 397$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Kristina Belkova | 33c | 380.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Edda Mamedova | 55c | 348.63$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 337 | 53.7%181 W · 156 L | +21.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kristina Belkova | 38c | 324.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.51 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Kristina Belkova | 37c | 226.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Edda Mamedova | 75c | 220$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kristina Belkova | 31c | 214.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Kristina Belkova | 23c | 205.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kristina Belkova | 36c | 180.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kristina Belkova | 39c | 154.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kristina Belkova | 36c | 144.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Edda Mamedova | 77c | 97.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Kristina Belkova | 36c | 96.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Edda Mamedova | 68c | 78.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Edda Mamedova | 67c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Edda Mamedova | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Edda Mamedova | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Edda Mamedova | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kristina Belkova | 26c | 57.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Edda Mamedova | 66c | 57.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Kristina Belkova | 61c | 47.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Edda Mamedova | 65c | 46.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Kristina Belkova | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Edda Mamedova | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Edda Mamedova | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Edda Mamedova | 64c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…052cbacked Kristina Belkova | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kristina Belkova | 44c | 27.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Edda Mamedova | 71c | 24.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Edda Mamedova | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.