Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Utah Utes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa683616f0bccd492777417ee98b1915dc4f66a2ebff9b52e6a4bcb840b085ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Utesof TCU Horned Frogs, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Utes | 68c | 3,268$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.62 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed TCU Horned Frogs | 19c | 1,225$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 1,149$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Utah Utes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 925.73$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed TCU Horned Frogs | 26c | 758.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 28c | 660.5$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed TCU Horned Frogs | 60c | 435$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Utes | 55c | 432.91$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Utes | 56c | 364.69$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed TCU Horned Frogs | 25c | 348.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed TCU Horned Frogs | 34c | 299.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 29c | 262.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…db0dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 34c | 258$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Utes | 62c | 225.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 187.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 158$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Utes | 71c | 147.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Utah Utes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Utah Utes | 32c | 119.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah Utes | 62c | 113.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 19c | 110.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Utah Utes | 49c | 107.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed TCU Horned Frogs | 66c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Utah Utes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 66.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 39c | 58.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed TCU Horned Frogs | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed TCU Horned Frogs | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Utah Utes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 49.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Utah Utes | 56c | 44.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed Utah Utes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 48c | 43.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 68c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Utah Utes | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked TCU Horned Frogs | 40c | 32.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…07f3backed Utah Utes | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed TCU Horned Frogs | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…5ea2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed TCU Horned Frogs | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Utah Utesthis page
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-4.5)Utah Utes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.