Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ff28ecea98209c3b19a265133ef525308c11784ae1341e0d288d97f937d87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Over | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +688.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…4bfcbacked Over | 2c | 4,687$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 35c | 2,606$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.51 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 65c | 2,193$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.51 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 64c | 2,179$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.27 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 2,119$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.53 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 54c | 1,325$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 1,229$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.19 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…0595backed Over | 62c | 951.5$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 27c | 811$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 674.51$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 428.29$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 40c | 411.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.14 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 72c | 286$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 283.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 217.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 67c | 163.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 39c | 147.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 139.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 75c | 131.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 44c | 123.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 71c | 72.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 39c | 70.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 68c | 61.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 39c | 57.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 72c | 53.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Under | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 39.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Under | 71c | 36.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 51c | 32.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 28.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 27.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 67c | 25.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 80c | 13.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.