Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa793036b6327901dc379ca1a8670955f55f7ce7f1cb288057773927dab5da948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 76c | 736.03$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.73 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…4a0dbacked Over | 3c | 613.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 23c | 535.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 75c | 430.67$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 24c | 417.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 384.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 74c | 320.36$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 311.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 76c | 291.93$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 220.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 75c | 209.32$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 74c | 177.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…a7f2backed Over | 25c | 159$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Over | 9c | 155$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 8c | 152.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…12ccbacked Over | 27c | 139.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 36c | 139.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 25c | 136$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 24c | 115.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 113.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…f4e1backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 72c | 51.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 45.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Over | 34c | 40.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 39.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…4ae7backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 67c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 75c | 17.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 76c | 13.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Team to Take First CornerNew Zealand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.