Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d9cdbe59a20dc91cd716465514127538d470f52468f9f94da5a107622b8e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 1,473$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.01 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 933.06$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 589.56$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.36 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 586.97$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.02 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 50c | 369.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 292.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 275.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…77c1backed Over | 58c | 182.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed Over | 15c | 154.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 45c | 134.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 45c | 133.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 78c | 113.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Over | 54c | 102.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 43c | 93.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 88.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 42c | 81.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 43c | 46.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 32c | 39.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 41c | 37.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 25.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 21.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Team to Take First CornerNew Zealand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.