TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lipscomb Bisonsof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, Lipscomb Bisons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$730,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$732,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Lipscomb Bisons53c672,247$353,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318,427.2535945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles47c257,992$122,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,116.2169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles47c200,000$94,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c41,948$21,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,0034252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles47c30,000$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,20090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles47c13,000$6,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1707353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9005843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked Lipscomb Bisons51c3,542$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.015343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…ef2fbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c2,110$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02013851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c1,990$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.28351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c1,650$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.55044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Lipscomb Bisons53c1,473$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c1,428$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c1,280$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c1,234$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.794,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles47c797.81$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9742246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7392…77abbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c505.05$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c422.55$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.351,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Lipscomb Bisons47c417.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5239744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c359$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c355$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.952,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Lipscomb Bisons49c326.92$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7322250.9%113 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c319.25$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c294.93$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5218046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd363…e6d1backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a462backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c94.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c92.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c85.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.397350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Lipscomb Bisons50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4034649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd20e…f698backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c48.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9899…a7f5backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c34.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7830746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-69.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.085549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb378…ce53backed Lipscomb Bisons51c20.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.