CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa829055ea98c3f4a91f400a1e99635c1fbb8bc2c23786cc95f6b2fa8b46d8fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, HOTU Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked HOTU Academy | 44c | 1,815$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.43 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked HOTU Academy | 5c | 833$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 531.65$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU Academy | 39c | 432.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.94 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed HOTU Academy | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed HOTU Academy | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked HOTU Academy | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed HOTU Academy | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed HOTU Academy | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 56c | 177.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU Academy | 33c | 166.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Donstu Esports | 59c | 165.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Donstu Esports | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 116.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HOTU Academy | 22c | 114.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed HOTU Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 93.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed HOTU Academy | 14c | 89.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Donstu Esports | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked HOTU Academy | 17c | 79.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 521 | 44.7%233 W · 288 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…985ebacked Donstu Esports | 64c | 77.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 55c | 76.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Donstu Esports | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HOTU Academy | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…d36ebacked HOTU Academy | 23c | 52.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Donstu Esports | 71c | 37.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HOTU Academy | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed HOTU Academy | 44c | 23.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Donstu Esports | 68c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group BDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.