CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bdbf8b80f9a4856ab1ca230261a8cc3e5d4f23df1e638959c58eda1394258d0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, HOTU Academy
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,548 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6b17…03b2backed HOTU Academy	31c	1,104$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.27	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked HOTU Academy	39c	601.67$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.65	437	51.7%226 W · 211 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed HOTU Academy	26c	550.51$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.27	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-4.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Donstu Esports	76c	531.51$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.79	136	52.9%72 W · 64 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Donstu Esports	68c	507.41$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.04	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked HOTU Academy	24c	450$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x996c…2bf1backed Donstu Esports	65c	449.61$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed HOTU Academy	23c	426.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports	78c	420.41$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.9	6,466	42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L	-78.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked Donstu Esports	75c	350.31$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.08	75	40%30 W · 45 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU Academy	24c	340.62$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.23	1,606	46.8%752 W · 854 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Donstu Esports	45c	305$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.9	293	40.6%119 W · 174 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed HOTU Academy	16c	290.91$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.73	873	30.9%270 W · 603 L	-62.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked HOTU Academy	55c	290$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.5	583	45.3%264 W · 319 L	-16.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb6…98fabacked Donstu Esports	76c	287.7$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked HOTU Academy	32c	261.44$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.97	2,454	34.4%845 W · 1,609 L	-189.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Donstu Esports	70c	230$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.15	485	43.1%209 W · 276 L	-14.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HOTU Academy	23c	195.97$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	5,262	31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L	-381.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports	69c	182.23$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.72	4,897	37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L	-245.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed HOTU Academy	29c	180.69$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.18	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Donstu Esports	79c	172.05$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	401	37.2%149 W · 252 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports	73c	171.28$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.1	4,661	43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU Academy	28c	165.47$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.42	2,491	41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L	-114.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU Academy	33c	152.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.23	3,165	45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L	-74.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Donstu Esports	76c	150$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.29	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe467…a253backed Donstu Esports	68c	150$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Donstu Esports	78c	146.23$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.61	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed HOTU Academy	25c	142.49$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.41	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a0…18ffbacked Donstu Esports	64c	141.92$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.78	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Donstu Esports	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	121	57.9%70 W · 51 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked HOTU Academy	42c	117.54$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.85	746	33.4%249 W · 497 L	-48.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Donstu Esports	80c	110$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	1,146	43.5%499 W · 647 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed HOTU Academy	17c	109.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	202	42.1%85 W · 117 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked HOTU Academy	26c	106$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed HOTU Academy	24c	104.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	391	45.8%179 W · 212 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed HOTU Academy	20c	102.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Donstu Esports	74c	101.01$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	2,119	42.9%909 W · 1,210 L	-66.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Donstu Esports	60c	94.9$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.07	590	49.7%293 W · 297 L	-31.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed HOTU Academy	27c	87.52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	106	43.4%46 W · 60 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked HOTU Academy	24c	87.17$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed HOTU Academy	25c	79.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	1,567	29.8%467 W · 1,100 L	-86.0wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-39%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf40f…8dcfbacked Donstu Esports	49c	79.24$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+10.2wins	+0.21per pick	37cpaid	+65.5%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked HOTU Academy	14c	74.62$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked HOTU Academy	23c	73.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	509	52.1%265 W · 244 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed HOTU Academy	29c	67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	1,062	42.2%448 W · 614 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e11…d36ebacked Donstu Esports	80c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.28per pick	40cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed HOTU Academy	24c	48.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	2,309	45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L	-62.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Donstu Esports	67c	44$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	2,343	46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L	-49.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Donstu Esports	68c	43$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	166	51.8%86 W · 80 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Donstu Esports	73c	42.9$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	2,084	47%979 W · 1,105 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports	75c	39.05$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	2,330	42.5%991 W · 1,339 L	-71.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed Donstu Esports	78c	38.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.54	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Donstu Esports	73c	38.07$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.26	671	47.1%316 W · 355 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Donstu Esports	77c	36.73$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.45	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed Donstu Esports	67c	34.34$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.33	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x381c…f7b5backed Donstu Esports	64c	31.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.33	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Donstu Esports	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	451	38.4%173 W · 278 L	-29.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Donstu Esports	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	490	41.8%205 W · 285 L	-18.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Donstu Esports	73c	24.45$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Donstu Esports	64c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.56	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x761d…f16dbacked Donstu Esports	75c	20.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.14	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Donstu Esports	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	138	39.9%55 W · 83 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Donstu Esports	69c	18.44$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.7	766	46.1%353 W · 413 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a8…7136backed Donstu Esports	80c	16.19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Donstu Esports	78c	14.18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.12	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	+14.5wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Bthis page
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs HOTU Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event