Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gentofte: Johan Oscar Lien vs Valdemar Frederik Pape
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85b8dba5a6a4c99ffd36b99a657b271645f14d1f7ba3a3d534b6778e9f1a708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valdemar Frederik Papeof Johan Oscar Lien, Valdemar Frederik Pape
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johan Oscar Lien | 66c | 1,642$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 34c | 1,025$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.37 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 42c | 528.06$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.63 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Johan Oscar Lien | 10c | 523.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Johan Oscar Lien | 39c | 269.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Johan Oscar Lien | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Johan Oscar Lien | 56c | 235.71$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 197.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 33c | 197.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Johan Oscar Lien | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 34c | 142.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 136.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 22c | 120.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 43c | 116.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 87.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Johan Oscar Lien | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Johan Oscar Lien | 75c | 69.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Johan Oscar Lien | 47c | 66.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Johan Oscar Lien | 62c | 59.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 52.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 52.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 60c | 49.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Johan Oscar Lien | 59c | 49.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 45c | 48.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 37c | 47.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 34c | 46.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 46.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 27c | 46.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Johan Oscar Lien | 61c | 36.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johan Oscar Lien | 65c | 36.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Johan Oscar Lien | 67c | 34.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Johan Oscar Lien | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Valdemar Frederik Pape | 59c | 28.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Valdemar Frederik Pape | 66c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…4c72backed Johan Oscar Lien | 60c | 21.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Johan Oscar Lien | 60c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Johan Oscar Lien | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Johan Oscar Lien | 66c | 18.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Johan Oscar Lien | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.