Tennis · resolved market
ITF Saskatoon: Emma Si Yu Dong vs Mio Mushika
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8a915252673bcb5520143fc6cee754ce1da2d1bc3120777e39661eb58844161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emma Si Yu Dongof Emma Si Yu Dong, Mio Mushika
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Emma Si Yu Dong | 59c | 4,153$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.99 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mio Mushika | 54c | 2,759$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.91 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mio Mushika | 57c | 854.88$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mio Mushika | 48c | 758.97$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.26 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mio Mushika | 9c | 648$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 50c | 617.86$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.86 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Mio Mushika | 20c | 497.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Mio Mushika | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mio Mushika | 55c | 454.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 34c | 335.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Emma Si Yu Dong | 43c | 224$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Mio Mushika | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Mio Mushika | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Emma Si Yu Dong | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Emma Si Yu Dong | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Emma Si Yu Dong | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2351…f059backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Mio Mushika | 54c | 113.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Mio Mushika | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mio Mushika | 67c | 93.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Emma Si Yu Dong | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Mio Mushika | 54c | 85.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mio Mushika | 48c | 71.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Emma Si Yu Dong | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Emma Si Yu Dong | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mio Mushika | 60c | 41.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 44c | 35.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…4d59backed Mio Mushika | 53c | 34.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…b071backed Emma Si Yu Dong | 49c | 32.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mio Mushika | 57c | 26.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…d4aabacked Mio Mushika | 51c | 21.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.