CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92fc52f936467b33bda20a4704d4bdfff3729344f289c5f691d17892de3135e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 46c | 1,287$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 55c | 813.56$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.13 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 529.54$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.77 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…9fd7backed Over | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Over | 52c | 290.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 33c | 255$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Over | 55c | 249.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 14c | 194.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 194$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 51c | 184.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Over | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Over | 11c | 178.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 173.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 39c | 163.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 127$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 33c | 102$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 46c | 83.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 68c | 80.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…c750backed Over | 50c | 40.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 50c | 28.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…2be4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…fbb1backed Under | 68c | 19.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 19.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.