Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Bastian Malla vs Alvaro Frutos Alonso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9644954f042a4a03e0d00b331b688ad4f00b9f250027cf9bc7b2c6e316f6042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bastian Mallaof Bastian Malla, Alvaro Frutos Alonso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bastian Malla | 60c | 4,260$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 40c | 2,500$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.73 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 35c | 1,828$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.77 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 32c | 1,749$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 44c | 1,310$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.21 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 35c | 1,038$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 15c | 918$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Bastian Malla | 61c | 847.71$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.35 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 42c | 763.54$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.58 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Bastian Malla | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.7 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Bastian Malla | 63c | 496$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.59 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Bastian Malla | 71c | 495.53$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Bastian Malla | 63c | 478.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Bastian Malla | 58c | 329.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 46c | 183.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Bastian Malla | 54c | 166.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Bastian Malla | 58c | 164.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 17c | 159.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Bastian Malla | 55c | 153.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Bastian Malla | 58c | 137.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Bastian Malla | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 35c | 85.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bastian Malla | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Bastian Malla | 58c | 64.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…4b80backed Alvaro Frutos Alonso | 41c | 45.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Bastian Malla | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Bastian Malla | 70c | 35.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Bastian Malla | 63c | 32.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a0…1257backed Bastian Malla | 66c | 30.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Bastian Malla | 65c | 30.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Bastian Malla | 70c | 28.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked Bastian Malla | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Bastian Malla | 70c | 23.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…158bbacked Bastian Malla | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Bastian Malla | 66c | 21.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…e4c7backed Bastian Malla | 64c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Bastian Malla | 64c | 20.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked Bastian Malla | 64c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.