MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2e4c4a704745d40343f491c6f11159eca6c6d7a9648ba93b3c232ab0cda6e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 9,824$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.52 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed KT Wiz | 46c | 2,609$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.7 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed KT Wiz | 44c | 2,108$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed KT Wiz | 44c | 2,035$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.59 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed KT Wiz | 42c | 1,973$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.46 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 579.75$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked KT Wiz | 20c | 479.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 42c | 417$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 44c | 415.28$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed KT Wiz | 52c | 388.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 356.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 260.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…87c3backed KT Wiz | 32c | 220.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 51c | 197.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed KT Wiz | 38c | 185.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed KT Wiz | 45c | 177$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 167.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 43c | 163.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KT Wiz | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed KT Wiz | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 132.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 130.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 43c | 110.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed KT Wiz | 44c | 101.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 90.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed KT Wiz | 43c | 78.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 76.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KT Wiz | 44c | 75.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 44c | 67.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 63.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed KT Wiz | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 54.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed KT Wiz | 47c | 51.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 50.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 45.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 42.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed KT Wiz | 44c | 35.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 32.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked KT Wiz | 44c | 32.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed KT Wiz | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 28.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 26.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed KT Wiz | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Wiz | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Kia Tigers | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.