CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa7fe35e73924ea52a94cd221e59ea82f52d45a733c10727e0074732d01a8d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof illwill, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed illwill | 61c | 1,216$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.74 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 915.1$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.97 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed illwill | 51c | 596.73$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.67 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed illwill | 53c | 586.42$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 484.87$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked illwill | 49c | 271.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 262.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked illwill | 61c | 261.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 240$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 32c | 212$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed illwill | 51c | 201.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed illwill | 40c | 164.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked illwill | 56c | 130.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed illwill | 41c | 111.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 110.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked illwill | 53c | 79.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill | 52c | 77.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 36c | 69.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 51.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked illwill | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed illwill | 48c | 40.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked illwill | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked illwill | 44c | 34.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed illwill | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked illwill | 62c | 32.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked illwill | 62c | 29.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed illwill | 64c | 28.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked illwill | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked illwill | 49c | 25.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked illwill | 49c | 23.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)Nuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.