CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb348664b1fbec89a7046fac9ed495bc8c94a511a531f5e516719c652e78aee

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuclear TigeRESof illwill, Nuclear TigeRES
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,889 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3db4…d69bbacked Nuclear TigeRES	55c	3,500$1,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,574.99	750	56.8%426 W · 324 L	+47.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed illwill	42c	2,884$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.34	211	35.5%75 W · 136 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill	31c	1,579$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.51	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES	66c	1,212$794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.88	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed illwill	26c	1,100$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.5	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked illwill	34c	620.67$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.52	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nuclear TigeRES	71c	619.62$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.97	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Nuclear TigeRES	55c	543.24$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.76	168	50.6%85 W · 83 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed illwill	29c	505$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.98	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed illwill	28c	427.11$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.67	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed illwill	26c	421$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	132	23.5%31 W · 101 L	-10.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked illwill	23c	385.75$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.45	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed illwill	23c	371.91$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.91	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked illwill	27c	360$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.08	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Nuclear TigeRES	55c	352.59$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.67	276	47.1%130 W · 146 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked illwill	29c	350$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.82	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Nuclear TigeRES	69c	324.03$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.45	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed illwill	30c	315.86$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.32	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed illwill	29c	300.36$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.07	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Nuclear TigeRES	72c	299.99$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.98	919	45.8%421 W · 498 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Nuclear TigeRES	68c	296.99$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.04	171	42.1%72 W · 99 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Nuclear TigeRES	70c	272.7$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.76	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked illwill	39c	272.39$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.09	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Nuclear TigeRES	71c	270$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.3	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed illwill	29c	270$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.3	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Nuclear TigeRES	60c	268.18$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.94	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nuclear TigeRES	66c	245.15$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.11	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked illwill	30c	236.07$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	627	38.8%243 W · 384 L	-31.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed illwill	32c	233.07$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.03	500	51.4%257 W · 243 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Nuclear TigeRES	68c	229.04$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.98	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Nuclear TigeRES	71c	222.77$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.77	220	44.5%98 W · 122 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed Nuclear TigeRES	72c	201.92$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.54	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Nuclear TigeRES	73c	196.3$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	102	49%50 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked illwill	34c	168.59$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.32	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked illwill	21c	168.42$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nuclear TigeRES	77c	165$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked illwill	43c	150$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.75	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked illwill	31c	149.7$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	587	45.5%267 W · 320 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed illwill	28c	142.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-8.4wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed illwill	26c	119.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.57	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES	74c	111.82$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.55	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x027e…bf29backed illwill	24c	104.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed illwill	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	456	45.2%206 W · 250 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked illwill	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1,262	46.9%592 W · 670 L	-34.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed illwill	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	838	56.1%470 W · 368 L	+31.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Nuclear TigeRES	69c	88.6$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.47	464	47.6%221 W · 243 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES	57c	83.04$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.29	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed illwill	31c	74.83$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed illwill	32c	74.72$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked illwill	45c	74.6$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Nuclear TigeRES	56c	71.39$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.41	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed illwill	45c	66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	739	48.4%358 W · 381 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Nuclear TigeRES	69c	65.64$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	523	69.4%363 W · 160 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Nuclear TigeRES	68c	61.76$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+31%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked illwill	32c	59.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed illwill	32c	58.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	347	50.7%176 W · 171 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Nuclear TigeRES	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	399	55.4%221 W · 178 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45d…93f1backed illwill	29c	51.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	142	50.7%72 W · 70 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Nuclear TigeRES	70c	49.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	248	50.4%125 W · 123 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuclear TigeRES	66c	49$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.86	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Nuclear TigeRES	55c	47.01$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	329	51.7%170 W · 159 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Nuclear TigeRES	70c	46.96$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.26	324	58%188 W · 136 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed illwill	31c	46.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked illwill	31c	45.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	491	49.9%245 W · 246 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked illwill	36c	40.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	526	45.1%237 W · 289 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed illwill	35c	36.06$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	398	40.5%161 W · 237 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nuclear TigeRES	68c	32$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d1…1ec3backed illwill	33c	31.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Nuclear TigeRES	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed illwill	42c	27.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	965	43.5%420 W · 545 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed illwill	45c	27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	799	51.7%413 W · 386 L	+25.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Nuclear TigeRES	66c	24.24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.24	162	45.7%74 W · 88 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Nuclear TigeRES	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	328	44.8%147 W · 181 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf8…1d84backed Nuclear TigeRES	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.3	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nuclear TigeRES	72c	19.93$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.65	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Nuclear TigeRES	56c	17.86$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	700	42.3%296 W · 404 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…9a5cbacked Nuclear TigeRES	68c	16.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.16	116	61.2%71 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed Nuclear TigeRES	72c	16.07$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)Nuclear TigeRES won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event