Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa86ded9edb58150097ef5da4c0dbc369dcf2b94c0240aee178372555a1287c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Evictixof Team Evictix, Alliance Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Evictix | 67c | 13,500$9,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.49 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alliance Guardians | 37c | 6,119$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.82 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance Guardians | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.13 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Alliance Guardians | 30c | 2,823$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.95 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alliance Guardians | 33c | 466$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alliance Guardians | 50c | 410.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alliance Guardians | 31c | 345$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Evictix | 34c | 245.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Team Evictix | 41c | 244.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…6690backed Alliance Guardians | 65c | 215.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Evictix | 67c | 186.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Evictix | 58c | 184.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Alliance Guardians | 13c | 175$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Alliance Guardians | 35c | 156.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance Guardians | 45c | 129.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alliance Guardians | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Team Evictix | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Team Evictix | 43c | 59.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Evictix | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed Alliance Guardians | 43c | 46.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Alliance Guardians | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Alliance Guardians | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alliance Guardians | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageTeam Evictix won
- Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 WinnerAlliance Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.