Mls · resolved market
San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1de9e15ab5476a7eaab319ab9f8cd8b57d7058b8f9c4f51e33fbf91f766674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 71c | 1,336$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 23c | 1,128$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.67 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 67c | 531.85$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.08 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.14 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 38c | 448.01$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…dff2backed Over | 51c | 437$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 21c | 435.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.13 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 31c | 310.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.64 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 17c | 291.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 12c | 227.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.18 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 80c | 226.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 17c | 205.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 13c | 203.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 61c | 175.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 67c | 147.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 39c | 86.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 41c | 72.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 59c | 69.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 35c | 63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…e2aabacked Over | 33c | 61.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 60c | 38.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 33.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 60c | 27.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5this page
- San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.