TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC København vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No16c11,884$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.161,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c3,595$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.871,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c3,215$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.1434342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No75c2,247$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.839754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c1,998$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.1859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c1,223$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.5546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No45c960.79$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No23c854.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9937544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.293658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc18…637abacked Yes80c697.83$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.57862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a31…67b7backed Yes78c570$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No20c501.29$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.687140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No73c499.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.997146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c454.55$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3963346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e36…c05cbacked Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes8c416.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.95633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+236.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes28c411.71$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4320644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c407.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.141625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-33.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No27c385.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.445927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No71c376.98$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes75c364.84$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1920343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.838224.4%20 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No40c336.03$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.138523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No12c333.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.169233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c305.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7444033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db5…79f4backed Yes79c274.14$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b3…c933backed Yes8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes29c210.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.341735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes29c203.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.451020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes29c203.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.451020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe272…a2c1backed Yes8c200$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+152.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes28c197.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.991643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes31c193.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.552025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6068…aa5cbacked Yes8c188.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+856.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes55c181.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.491770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes29c180$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.88032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes24c163.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.481346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No30c159.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.186943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No68c158.12$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No72c157.32$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2738748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c155.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.179644.8%43 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.931414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.933836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No23c129.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.194526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes29c127.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5910044%44 W · 56 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd337…6fd3backed Yes8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No10c121.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes54c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.85872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes29c113.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.792445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ce…418cbacked No37c113.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes29c106.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6a…45e0backed Yes31c106.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.342030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.454746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No21c100.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xef34…6779backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No71c99.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4911750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ee…6605backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.218651.2%44 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes77c83.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.16100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+69.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes29c82.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.768229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No25c82.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9738935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No23c80.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.165455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No17c78.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4143427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes26c78.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.045724.6%14 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes27c66.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.675534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No36c59.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1122356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa996…e251backed Yes73c55.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes23c54.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.222642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.722740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes77c49.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes68c48.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3833851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1229846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c45.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6113759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes78c43.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x962c…bcd6backed Yes70c43.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes29c41.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.383240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No72c41.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes28c39.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.735152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No36c37.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.666817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50a0…92a6backed Yes29c37.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+83.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x754d…893bbacked Yes28c36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde33…1496backed Yes29c35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No73c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.255246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fa…3528backed Yes66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4557…bf49backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.