Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Edward Winter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabe9cd857987b7a37f0cc6c2c46d56c7d434f3c5fb0b3a216d6df23bc0c6dbdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oscar Weightmanof Oscar Weightman, Edward Winter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Edward Winter | 58c | 6,383$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oscar Weightman | 37c | 1,597$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.19 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Oscar Weightman | 43c | 1,352$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.12 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oscar Weightman | 69c | 704.76$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Oscar Weightman | 39c | 543.73$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Oscar Weightman | 39c | 450.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Edward Winter | 71c | 430.64$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Oscar Weightman | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Oscar Weightman | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Edward Winter | 61c | 390.93$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oscar Weightman | 29c | 262.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Oscar Weightman | 79c | 214.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Edward Winter | 54c | 213.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Oscar Weightman | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Oscar Weightman | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Edward Winter | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Oscar Weightman | 23c | 178.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Oscar Weightman | 29c | 165.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Oscar Weightman | 65c | 160.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Edward Winter | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Oscar Weightman | 40c | 151.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Edward Winter | 31c | 143$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Edward Winter | 16c | 142.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Oscar Weightman | 42c | 130.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Edward Winter | 49c | 125.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Edward Winter | 40c | 118$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Oscar Weightman | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Edward Winter | 56c | 109.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Oscar Weightman | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Oscar Weightman | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Oscar Weightman | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Oscar Weightman | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Oscar Weightman | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Oscar Weightman | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Edward Winter | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Oscar Weightman | 32c | 103.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Oscar Weightman | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Oscar Weightman | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Oscar Weightman | 53c | 98.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Oscar Weightman | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Edward Winter | 27c | 95.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Edward Winter | 69c | 92.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Oscar Weightman | 23c | 90.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oscar Weightman | 40c | 83.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Oscar Weightman | 54c | 72.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Oscar Weightman | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Oscar Weightman | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Oscar Weightman | 41c | 64.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Edward Winter | 43c | 59.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Oscar Weightman | 47c | 52.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Edward Winter | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oscar Weightman | 30c | 50.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Oscar Weightman | 46c | 47.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Oscar Weightman | 36c | 46.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Oscar Weightman | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Oscar Weightman | 58c | 41.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Oscar Weightman | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Oscar Weightman | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Oscar Weightman | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Edward Winter | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Edward Winter | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Oscar Weightman | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Oscar Weightman | 61c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Oscar Weightman | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Oscar Weightman | 73c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.