Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Providence Friars vs. Xavier Musketeers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac44fac73bda1a5f14f376810cfbff3d5dd8d595ebf1936cd9275313b196d3d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavier Musketeersof Providence Friars, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Providence Friars | 35c | 4,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xavier Musketeers | 72c | 2,525$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Providence Friars | 31c | 1,009$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.54 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 655.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Xavier Musketeers | 74c | 652.7$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Xavier Musketeers | 74c | 263.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 259.75$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xavier Musketeers | 73c | 219.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xavier Musketeers | 63c | 212.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked Providence Friars | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 70c | 194.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Providence Friars | 52c | 183.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Providence Friars | 37c | 177$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 172.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Xavier Musketeers | 75c | 137.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Providence Friars | 24c | 133.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Providence Friars | 10c | 106.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 70c | 97.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Providence Friars | 32c | 84.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Providence Friars | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 66c | 64.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Providence Friars | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 53.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Providence Friars | 53c | 50.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Providence Friars | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Providence Friars vs. Xavier Musketeersthis page
- Providence Friars vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 165.5Over won
- Providence Friars vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 166.5Over won
- Providence Friars vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-1.5)Xavier Musketeers won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-2.5)Xavier Musketeers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.