MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf6194af3f50f0e8a5c03fa5af101f553f2699a8aee27555480cb724b71d42a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof St. Louis Cardinals, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Atlanta Braves | 74c | 26,896$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.03 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 17,114$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 8,233$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.12 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 6,095$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.57 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 5,690$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,190$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.9 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 1,101$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 959.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.26 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 933.57$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.09 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 869.83$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.63 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 690$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 644.47$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 502.28$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 500$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 476.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 400$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 316.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 267.63$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…ccf3backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 63.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 59.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 25.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…c644backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 16.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.