MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad552c79664eb56e3a09840de91688a9ad59e3337f3057e4c4dce9dbb359e87b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,987 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 2,502$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.92 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,025$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.95 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 881.17$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.66 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 843.42$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 838$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.34 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 716.6$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 595$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 525.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.66 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 518$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 498.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 390.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 383$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 361.57$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 351.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 272.23$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 245.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 243.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 236.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 224.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 219.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 213$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 66c | 113.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…1a1abacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 98.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 95.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 92.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 85.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 79.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 61.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 60.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 58.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 51.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 49.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 44.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 44.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 27.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 27.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 26.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 26.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 19.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.