CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5727ca359000e62e769f25030bee1545de3d53901eaa72327887feae06c733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Isurus, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru | 46c | 1,528$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Isurus | 67c | 1,500$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.06 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Isurus | 69c | 1,357$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.58 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Isurus | 63c | 1,296$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.9 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Isurus | 45c | 561.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Isurus | 48c | 490.66$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.66 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 415.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 407.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.46 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Isurus | 54c | 399.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fake do Biru | 23c | 385.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 380$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 364.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Fake do Biru | 25c | 291.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 54c | 287.55$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Fake do Biru | 59c | 253.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fake do Biru | 29c | 237.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isurus | 63c | 236.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fake do Biru | 22c | 219.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 22c | 212.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 198$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fake do Biru | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fake do Biru | 28c | 153.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Fake do Biru | 42c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 57c | 128.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus | 65c | 123.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 122.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Isurus | 72c | 119.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Isurus | 42c | 118.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fake do Biru | 54c | 117.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 51c | 116.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Fake do Biru | 28c | 114.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Isurus | 42c | 106.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fake do Biru | 62c | 106$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 104$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 92.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fake do Biru | 49c | 88.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Isurus | 54c | 87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Fake do Biru | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 265 | 44.2%117 W · 148 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fake do Biru | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 63.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Isurus | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Fake do Biru | 31c | 59.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Fake do Biru | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Isurus | 67c | 46.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Isurus | 46c | 45.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Isurus | 65c | 43.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1c46backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 35.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Isurus | 42c | 35.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 35.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Fake do Biru | 57c | 31.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Fake do Biru | 56c | 31.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Isurus | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fake do Biru | 56c | 29.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Fake do Biru | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Isurus | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group AIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Isurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.