Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Robin Montgomery vs Kayla Cross
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9669b773e9dcb662e2a2ffdcbc6ad6ce12426b6cccf1c481e611a86c3e84f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robin Montgomeryof Robin Montgomery, Kayla Cross
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kayla Cross | 23c | 14,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Robin Montgomery | 79c | 10,000$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Kayla Cross | 20c | 7,000$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.54 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Robin Montgomery | 79c | 3,074$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.28 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Robin Montgomery | 78c | 2,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.77 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kayla Cross | 22c | 1,767$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kayla Cross | 24c | 1,761$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.52 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kayla Cross | 13c | 1,077$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kayla Cross | 22c | 900.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kayla Cross | 18c | 900$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Kayla Cross | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 566.15$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Kayla Cross | 23c | 509.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 327.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Robin Montgomery | 78c | 237.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kayla Cross | 16c | 226.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kayla Cross | 9c | 198.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Robin Montgomery | 78c | 185.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kayla Cross | 11c | 185.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 154.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Robin Montgomery | 78c | 153.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Kayla Cross | 17c | 144$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Robin Montgomery | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Robin Montgomery | 78c | 115.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kayla Cross | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…ad81backed Kayla Cross | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kayla Cross | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 82.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Robin Montgomery | 77c | 53.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Robin Montgomery | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Kayla Cross | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kayla Cross | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 42.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 30.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Robin Montgomery | 78c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Robin Montgomery | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Robin Montgomery vs Kayla Crossthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Montgomery vs CrossMontgomery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.