Tennis · resolved market
ITF Uriage: Florent Bax vs Alexander Weis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9bcd3670ac9e73329f14f60c0875bce7594c2e601fa0bf188c0229756e3d07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Weisof Florent Bax, Alexander Weis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Alexander Weis | 49c | 12,830$6,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.45 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florent Bax | 49c | 9,517$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Florent Bax | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Florent Bax | 33c | 1,521$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Florent Bax | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Florent Bax | 27c | 872.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Florent Bax | 42c | 781.42$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.77 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Florent Bax | 53c | 486.14$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.24 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alexander Weis | 59c | 462$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Alexander Weis | 67c | 377.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Alexander Weis | 67c | 376.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Florent Bax | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Florent Bax | 31c | 317.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Alexander Weis | 66c | 238.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Alexander Weis | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Florent Bax | 23c | 206.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Alexander Weis | 78c | 160.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Florent Bax | 41c | 147.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florent Bax | 36c | 121.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alexander Weis | 47c | 111.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Florent Bax | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Florent Bax | 27c | 101.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Florent Bax | 53c | 97.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Florent Bax | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexander Weis | 22c | 88.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexander Weis | 57c | 88.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Florent Bax | 21c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Florent Bax | 48c | 79.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Florent Bax | 32c | 78.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Florent Bax | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alexander Weis | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Florent Bax | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Florent Bax | 51c | 47.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Alexander Weis | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alexander Weis | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alexander Weis | 38c | 28.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Florent Bax | 59c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…3579backed Florent Bax | 57c | 24.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Florent Bax | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Alexander Weis | 72c | 23.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Alexander Weis | 73c | 20.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Florent Bax | 52c | 20.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.