MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf26857cd2a24b243accf70173d06fe74cb5aac88b2f034f2f8e7232d05cd6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof NC Dinos, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dd9…cd04backed NC Dinos | 53c | 4,991$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 47c | 1,788$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.96 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed KT Wiz | 46c | 1,294$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.88 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed KT Wiz | 55c | 1,100$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.78 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 50c | 1,036$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed KT Wiz | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 51c | 952.76$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed NC Dinos | 54c | 948.21$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.03 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed NC Dinos | 45c | 540$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed KT Wiz | 51c | 536.06$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 471.61$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked NC Dinos | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed KT Wiz | 48c | 307.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed NC Dinos | 51c | 282.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed KT Wiz | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed KT Wiz | 62c | 206.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed NC Dinos | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked NC Dinos | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed NC Dinos | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed NC Dinos | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 186$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed KT Wiz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed KT Wiz | 50c | 169.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 124.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed KT Wiz | 47c | 121.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 120.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked NC Dinos | 11c | 96.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…d929backed KT Wiz | 49c | 94.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 46c | 86.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed KT Wiz | 52c | 85.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed KT Wiz | 53c | 82.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed KT Wiz | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed KT Wiz | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed KT Wiz | 56c | 78.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed KT Wiz | 55c | 72.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NC Dinos | 57c | 68.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 79c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 49c | 42.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed KT Wiz | 49c | 42.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed KT Wiz | 50c | 40.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 39.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed KT Wiz | 47c | 39.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed KT Wiz | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…5b0abacked KT Wiz | 47c | 35.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked NC Dinos | 41c | 34.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -9.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed KT Wiz | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed NC Dinos | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed KT Wiz | 51c | 30.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed KT Wiz | 49c | 30.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NC Dinos | 62c | 29.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed KT Wiz | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed NC Dinos | 46c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KT Wiz | 54c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked KT Wiz | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed KT Wiz | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed KT Wiz | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.