Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Murray State Racers vs. Indiana State Sycamores
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadfb4699bd86a4c40fea29068cb85932df8c4a96606bb9f748b2b2cf1eb46835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murray State Racersof Murray State Racers, Indiana State Sycamores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 3c | 2,054$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 1c | 1,875$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 1,233$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana State Sycamores | 2c | 830.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Murray State Racers | 64c | 795$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Murray State Racers | 63c | 640$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 3c | 536.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Indiana State Sycamores | 38c | 535.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…83e0backed Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 523.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Murray State Racers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 460$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Indiana State Sycamores | 38c | 445.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Murray State Racers | 63c | 442$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 36c | 334$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Murray State Racers | 78c | 312$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Murray State Racers | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 26c | 282.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Indiana State Sycamores | 38c | 242.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Indiana State Sycamores | 21c | 219.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 23c | 204.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 35c | 199.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 191.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Murray State Racers | 76c | 178.53$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana State Sycamores | 12c | 170.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Murray State Racers | 62c | 161.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Indiana State Sycamores | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Murray State Racers | 75c | 145.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Murray State Racers | 67c | 144.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Indiana State Sycamores | 35c | 131.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Indiana State Sycamores | 38c | 109.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Murray State Racers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Murray State Racers | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 28c | 60.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6774…2e8abacked Murray State Racers | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…69d4backed Indiana State Sycamores | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…10cabacked Murray State Racers | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Murray State Racers | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Murray State Racers | 78c | 32.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Murray State Racers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Murray State Racers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Murray State Racers | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Murray State Racers | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Murray State Racers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…822ebacked Murray State Racers | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Murray State Racers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Murray State Racers | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murray State Racers vs. Indiana State Sycamoresthis page
- Murray State Racers vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 163.5Under won
- Murray State Racers vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-3.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-4.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.