Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae022a51fc4635ec9bc44e515a66c4bb15014fcd33f759f3a84187fac2f1d2f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaufland Hangry Knightsof Team Orange Gaming, Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 54c | 5,872$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.31 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Orange Gaming | 48c | 3,195$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.07 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Orange Gaming | 49c | 2,864$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.47 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 51c | 2,261$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.31 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Team Orange Gaming | 47c | 2,100$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.92 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.66 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…bff0backed Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 959.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Orange Gaming | 47c | 885.72$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.34 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 49c | 683.16$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 59c | 679.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.82 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 64c | 550.63$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.81 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 59c | 510.5$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Orange Gaming | 47c | 502.23$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Orange Gaming | 49c | 373.29$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 357$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Team Orange Gaming | 11c | 272$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…1cbcbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 59c | 243$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Team Orange Gaming | 45c | 227$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Orange Gaming | 46c | 198.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 67c | 188.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 61c | 185.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 44c | 176.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 61c | 147.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Orange Gaming | 45c | 140.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Orange Gaming | 50c | 130.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Orange Gaming | 29c | 114.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Orange Gaming | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Team Orange Gaming | 50c | 100.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 59c | 85.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Orange Gaming | 41c | 84.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 76.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 53c | 71.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 79c | 69.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Orange Gaming | 47c | 66.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…2675backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 49c | 48.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 58c | 45.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Team Orange Gaming | 44c | 42.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Team Orange Gaming | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 52c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Team Orange Gaming | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…f23fbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 51c | 27.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…a7a5backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Team Orange Gaming | 52c | 23.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 67c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BTeam Orange Gaming won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 WinnerTeam Orange Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.