Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf0b6a074b7723ffa36d2887af566561384b8660bcd608c00a8cf7331c328a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ad3…60c2backed No | 60c | 434.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 412.62$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 42c | 302.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 70c | 261.04$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 63c | 190.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 166.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…a01dbacked No | 60c | 165.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 64c | 143.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 128.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 127.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 97.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 11c | 91.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 18c | 85.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 80.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 44c | 68.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 59c | 67.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 61.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 50c | 59.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 47c | 59.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 79c | 58.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 37c | 56.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 44c | 55.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 36c | 54.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 41c | 53.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…4beabacked Yes | 76c | 52.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 50.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 61c | 47.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…fb88backed Yes | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 61c | 43.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 55c | 42.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56c…30f3backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 39.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 39.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…8dcdbacked Yes | 73c | 38.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fc…5eb2backed Yes | 79c | 37.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 39c | 35.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 36c | 35.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 70 | 8.6%6 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 40c | 35.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…0568backed Yes | 35c | 33.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 45c | 32.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 32.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 31.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 30.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe820…9f12backed Yes | 48c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 44c | 27.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 57c | 27.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 59c | 26.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a7…5b77backed Yes | 42c | 26.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…516ebacked Yes | 44c | 26.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…9dadbacked Yes | 76c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 64c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 63c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…243bbacked Yes | 72c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…ea65backed No | 58c | 20.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 73c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 58c | 19.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 78c | 18.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…dd79backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.