MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf7a6122adaf23f35a4ee59446bdc8e582ae014399507fa381e8f7581a7f118b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Pittsburgh Pirates, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 7,315$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.88 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 5,556$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 1,314$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.18 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed New York Yankees | 65c | 848.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed New York Yankees | 61c | 533.24$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 487.72$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed New York Yankees | 72c | 360$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed New York Yankees | 78c | 353.33$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 322.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 216.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed New York Yankees | 63c | 158.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…380bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 138.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 104.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed New York Yankees | 61c | 86.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed New York Yankees | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 73.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 65.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed New York Yankees | 62c | 62.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed New York Yankees | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed New York Yankees | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…b18ebacked New York Yankees | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed New York Yankees | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed New York Yankees | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed New York Yankees | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Yankees | 62c | 21.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…245dbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed New York Yankees | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.