Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf8236cc2a68464e0df6cd155f230d6ea8e3589d494da2b425d172125a1b23ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 9,003$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 72c | 4,686$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.77 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 3,516$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 30c | 1,582$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.42 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 30c | 1,572$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.66 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.23 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 30c | 1,010$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 984.17$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.51 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 64c | 764$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 63c | 623.81$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.81 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 70c | 484.59$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 62c | 483.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 62c | 446$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 10c | 352.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 31c | 269.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 37c | 255.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes | 68c | 244.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 178.68$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 38c | 173.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 69c | 167.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 34c | 158.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…9b4cbacked Yes | 71c | 153.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…210ebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…b4eabacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 38c | 131.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 68c | 130.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 65c | 127.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 16c | 121$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…1b8fbacked Yes | 71c | 119.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 45c | 108.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 18c | 98.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 19c | 98.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 39c | 79.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…a76abacked Yes | 71c | 70.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 79c | 64.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 71c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 60.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 40c | 56.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 60c | 56.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 38c | 54.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 42.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 45c | 42.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 45c | 33.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 45c | 33.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 33.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 44c | 32.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…2261backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 67c | 24.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…421fbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 75c | 21.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 20.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed Yes | 71c | 18.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will AZ vs. ADO Den Haag end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.