Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Brisbane 3 Women: Stefani Webb vs Tori Russell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb00c5d0c4a75a1fbc45b343b4641e9873a9e9963f86f5e9da171147f844386e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefani Webbof Stefani Webb, Tori Russell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Stefani Webb | 75c | 6,703$5,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.61 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tori Russell | 12c | 3,302$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tori Russell | 23c | 947.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Stefani Webb | 67c | 803.8$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.26 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Tori Russell | 25c | 608.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Stefani Webb | 70c | 328.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Tori Russell | 36c | 257.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Tori Russell | 34c | 254.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Tori Russell | 6c | 173.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Tori Russell | 42c | 166.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Tori Russell | 41c | 165.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Tori Russell | 42c | 164.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tori Russell | 9c | 163.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Tori Russell | 42c | 162.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Tori Russell | 42c | 160.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Tori Russell | 42c | 155.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Tori Russell | 42c | 153.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Tori Russell | 42c | 151.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Tori Russell | 42c | 150.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Tori Russell | 42c | 149.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Tori Russell | 42c | 148.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Tori Russell | 42c | 143.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Tori Russell | 42c | 143.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Tori Russell | 42c | 142.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Tori Russell | 42c | 140.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Tori Russell | 42c | 137.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Tori Russell | 42c | 113.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Tori Russell | 43c | 113.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Tori Russell | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tori Russell | 44c | 67.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Tori Russell | 29c | 62.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Stefani Webb | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tori Russell | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…52febacked Tori Russell | 45c | 60.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Tori Russell | 28c | 57.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Tori Russell | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Stefani Webb | 62c | 52.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Tori Russell | 33c | 40.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Stefani Webb | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefani Webb | 68c | 35.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Tori Russell | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Tori Russell | 45c | 31.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.