La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb00ee69da07f841aeabd466819914b736b9ec386bbdd5c91304d2800a29c3351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,633 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 3,712$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.18 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,811$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 1,422$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.8 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 1,400$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.84 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 19c | 1,167$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 77c | 517.85$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.74 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 60c | 468.58$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 17c | 392.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 51c | 386.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 26c | 249.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed No | 75c | 201$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 78c | 193.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 178.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 77c | 124.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 23c | 121.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 116.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 109.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 89.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 77c | 87.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 83.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Yes | 70c | 81.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 80.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 23c | 50.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 32c | 44.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 53c | 43.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 48c | 38.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 53c | 29.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 70c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked No | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 77c | 14.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will CD Leganés vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.