Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Brown Bears vs. Princeton Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb032ad7364d91e5fec1305cf16ea8cd792e8ac8a3466a522b86c650ace2b0bc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Princeton Tigersof Brown Bears, Princeton Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df5…4c8cbacked Brown Bears | 54c | 3,708$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers | 52c | 3,285$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Princeton Tigers | 47c | 1,950$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.5 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…df3abacked Brown Bears | 35c | 1,570$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brown Bears | 43c | 946.05$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Princeton Tigers | 52c | 904.35$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.82 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Princeton Tigers | 70c | 846.5$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Brown Bears | 32c | 809.29$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Brown Bears | 41c | 804.58$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.72 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Brown Bears | 39c | 683.42$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Princeton Tigers | 56c | 586.93$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.68 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Brown Bears | 37c | 569.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Brown Bears | 29c | 556.65$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fa…fd6abacked Princeton Tigers | 65c | 540$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2902…e43abacked Princeton Tigers | 65c | 520$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Brown Bears | 46c | 451.14$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.89 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brown Bears | 38c | 410$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Princeton Tigers | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Princeton Tigers | 71c | 360.45$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Princeton Tigers | 65c | 344.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Princeton Tigers | 78c | 323.72$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…6f09backed Princeton Tigers | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Brown Bears | 33c | 303.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Princeton Tigers | 71c | 237.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Princeton Tigers | 63c | 193$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Brown Bears | 52c | 192.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Brown Bears | 32c | 175.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Princeton Tigers | 62c | 159.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Brown Bears | 52c | 155.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Princeton Tigers | 47c | 151.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…2d77backed Brown Bears | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Brown Bears | 50c | 126.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Princeton Tigers | 47c | 116.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Princeton Tigers | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Brown Bears | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Brown Bears | 35c | 100.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Princeton Tigers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Princeton Tigers | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…3ad0backed Brown Bears | 52c | 96.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Princeton Tigers | 67c | 89.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Princeton Tigers | 56c | 88.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Brown Bears | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Princeton Tigers | 68c | 73.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Brown Bears | 36c | 72.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Brown Bears | 51c | 57.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brown Bears | 36c | 52.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brown Bears | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Princeton Tigers | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…6c1cbacked Princeton Tigers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Princeton Tigers | 64c | 40.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Princeton Tigers | 56c | 39.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Princeton Tigers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Princeton Tigers | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Princeton Tigers | 66c | 27.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Princeton Tigers | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Princeton Tigers | 68c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…a7debacked Princeton Tigers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brown Bears vs. Princeton Tigersthis page
- Brown Bears vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 132.5Under won
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-4.5)Princeton Tigers won
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-5.5)Princeton Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.