TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No57c580.04$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes41c260$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes44c228.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e09…3250backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.86269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes43c130$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.117249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes35c115$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6524954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes42c78.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0224037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No60c42.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.835958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No54c39.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3517652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes43c32.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8911256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.221850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed No66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.88356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No57c18.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7623357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.